Saturday, May 10, 2008

Warming Trend

A small flurry of sales in May so far should brighten moods a bit.

We know of 9 sales/deals/new escrows in the first 10 days of this month, plus 2 short sales that skipped the "pending" stage and closed this week. (That's going to be common for shorties). What we've got, with the last list price for each:

  • 437 1st ($1.650m) – a quickie remodel held about a year, purchased off market last April for $1.45m;
  • 625 26th ($1.999m) – ca. 1988, on a quiet street, somewhat flat price (sellers paid $1.795m in Aug. 2004);
  • 408 6th ($2.099m) – South End, mid-block walkstreet home with some challenges; we're hearing it's sold to a builder; a pick on "Mrs. MBC's Xmas List";
  • 2310 John ($2.099m) – surprising Tree Section contemporary; sellers paid $1.725m in Dec. 2003;
  • 516 24th ($2.349m) – a crisp, new beachy home, also on Mrs. MBC's Xmas List, that had to hang around a while to find a buyer;
  • 401 3rd ($2.685m) – a major rebuild in 2006, Mrs. MBC's pick last week;
  • 125 31st ($3.399m) – a contemporary on a walkstreet at Manhattan Ave.;
  • 2204 Palm ($3.450m) – once touted as a "Colossal Cape Cod," a new home on a corner with a simply gigantic basement; and
  • 869 3rd ($3.750m) – an ultramodern home in the Hill Section; sellers paid $2.44m in May 2004.
In addition to these, we've heard tell via comments that 452 32nd is in escrow. (It's Saturday night as we write, so we're running with that news before verifying.)

The short sales that posted as sold this week were 3412 Pacific (at list, $1.199m) and 1313 Oak ($1.780m).

In the snapshot we can offer now, SFR inventory west of Sepulveda is at 105, -2 from the month's start, with 9 new listings for the month but the 11 posted sales above coming off the boards.

15 comments:

Anonymous said...

I'm glad 516 24th has finally sold. I know Mrs. MBC liked this house, but I had some reservations about it. The house is a near clone of a house on the south side of the 500 block of 23rd st which sold early last year. While I liked the 2nd story of both houses, the kitchen left a little to be desired: No large pull out drawer for two containers (one garbage, one recycle); The microwave below counter level; and, drawers that did not have the new automatic closing when close to closed. Also, like its clone, the outside patio is postage stamp size. I live 1 1/2 blocks from this house and I certainly enjoy my large two side patios. Our six person outside table is used in the summer for al fresco dinners. Can't do that on these small patios.

Anonymous said...

Is 644 35th still in escrow? Or should that be added to the closed list?

Anonymous said...

Hmmm, not much activity on this thread. The bears obviously don't like to deal with a posting that has a positive lead in!

waiting on the sidelines said...

It appears there have been about 13 homes that have gone into escrow this month. 1/2 are contingent. Is it safe to assume that contingent offers are primarily where the buyer must sell their home? What other common contingencies are there? It will be interesting to see how many (if any)fall out of escrow.

Anonymous said...

Warming Trend or....
Dead Cat Bounce????
With many contingencies.....

Anonymous said...

Additional Properties in Escrow that the Agents have not update on the MLS are:

324 25th Street (this weekend)
323 31st Street (couple of weeks)
2211 Highland (Last week, sold, fell out and re-sold again)

Anonymous said...

12:00- Glad to see someone actually read my link and might have done some research on the bust of the 1990s.

Anonymous said...

A financing or a sale contingency are the typical "contingent" offers that are not considered "all cash". Almost all offers will have some sort of contingency related to inspections with the exception of "all-cash as-is" sales, which is usually a developer buying a tear-down.

Anonymous said...

11:38 - what source are you using to cite that "1/2 are contingent"? That seems incredibly low, as I would think all new escrows would at least have an inspection contingency and most would have a financing contingency as well. If it's truly only 1/2, then that's an even better sign for the market.

MBWatcher said...

Some folks can see two kinds of statuses for homes in escrow – "pending" or "contingent."

Pending assumes normal "contingencies" like inspection, financing, etc. But "contingent" would generally be used if the buyer needs to sell their house first or there's some unusual condition that has to be met first. Someone may wish to fill in the gaps I've left.

(I noticed some formerly active listings are now posting this way on Redfin rather than simply disappearing because they're not active. 408 6th is an example.)

waiting on the sidelines said...

Thanks MBW for the response.
Anon 3:45, For MLS purposes "P" takes into account all the normal contingencies, as stated by MBW. I'm just curious as to what are other common "C" status contingencies on MLS. Is there anything else that is common besides having to sell your house?Go to Blake Roberts website. He has a list of all the homes that went into escrow in May so far.

I haven't seen this many "C"'s in MLS in years.

MBWatcher said...

Blake lists 2401 John as a May sale, I don't know why. I assume he did a computer search with dates so it shouldn't have gotten that wrong. But that one first showed up in April, maybe late March, as pending – not this month.

Anonymous said...

OK, let's make this real easy. MBW, how many sales took place in May of 2007 for your target area West of Sepulveda? How many for all of MB?

Let's not jump to conclusions here. While MBW is showing that May has gotten off to a decent start, let's compare to last May. It may not seem so great afterall.

Anonymous said...

"Warming Trend?"
Damn - nothing to bitch about!
Oh wait - let's compare to last year.
Oh yeah - I am going to get those dirty bulls!

Epsilon said...

The bears aren't posting because there's nothing to say, not because this post is indicative of a new bull market in MB. Sales typically pick up a little in spring; if that didn't happen, it would be a sign that things are terrible. That it may be happening hardly means they're good.

Most importantly, this is a very, very small data set. If it continues through the summer, then the bulls have a point; for now, it's too early to know...

 

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